I built this off my own model, not somebody else's consensus. Cash by floor, GPP by ceiling-relative-to-ownership, and the low-owned stacks I actually think have a path to taking down a large-field tournament this week.
Three things about this board. The chalk at the top is priced honestly — Gibbs at 29.2% and Chase at 28.5% are correctly owned, and I'm not fading them just to be different. Five starting quarterbacks are at literally 0.0% projected ownership, but only two of those are actually opportunities; the other three are games the market correctly wrote off. And the real duplication risk on this slate isn't at the top at all — it's a handful of mid-priced value plays where a fifth of the field is going to end up with the same roster.
Below I go game by game through all twelve, with the reasoning on every name — who I want, who I'm off, and what the game script has to look like for each call to hit.
Top implied totals: LAC 28.5, DET 28.3, CIN 27.0, BAL 25.5, PHI/CHI 25.3. 24 teams rostered, full position pool confirmed active (Projected > 0 filter applied across 288 players).
| Player | Pos | Team | Sal | Proj | Own% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Allen | QB | BUF | $8,900 | 22.19 | 2.0% |
| Jahmyr Gibbs | RB | DET | $9,100 | 20.52 | 29.2% |
| Ja'Marr Chase | WR | CIN | $8,900 | 16.90 | 28.5% |
| Bijan Robinson | RB | ATL | $8,800 | 18.66 | 24.6% |
| Amon-Ra St. Brown | WR | DET | $8,600 | 18.22 | 17.5% |
| Trevor Lawrence | QB | JAC | $7,700 | 20.21 | 2.0% |
| Chase Brown | RB | CIN | $7,500 | 16.78 | 15.8% |
| Trey McBride | TE | ARI | $7,600 | 13.42 | 4.4% |
| Nico Collins | WR | HOU | $7,700 | 12.44 | 1.3% |
| Derrick Henry | RB | BAL | $8,300 | 13.26 | 6.0% |
| Breece Hall | RB | NYJ | $6,900 | 12.74 | 1.3% |
| Jayden Daniels | QB | WAS | $7,900 | 17.35 | 0.2% |
| Sam LaPorta | TE | DET | $5,800 | 9.17 | 8.1% |
| Chris Olave | WR | NO | $7,400 | 13.72 | 18.8% |
| Jaguars | DST | JAC | $5,000 | 9.50 | 12.3% |
Everything below the line — full cash board by position, GPP leverage rankings, the low-owned stacks worth building around, and 5 cap-legal DK Classic lineups (2 cash, 2 GPP, 1 moonshot) — is Premium.
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